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FRB(アメリカ連邦準備制度)の赤字(2025Q2まで)

以前「 FRB(アメリカ連邦準備制度)の赤字 」について 2025Q2 まで更新されたので、グラフを延長する。データ、出所などの説明は以前の記事を参照。 FRBの利息収入( 青い破線 )は2022からほぼ同水準で変動しているが、利息費用( 緑二重線 )が2023Q3から徐々に減少している。それ以外に債権(国債など)と債務(当座預金)の額を考慮する必要があるが、ここでは省略している。財務省への送金前の純所得( 赤い線 )の赤字はかなり縮小してきた。2025Q2も前期比べてわずかだか赤字は縮小し、銀行業資本として正常な状態に戻りつつあるといえる。 なお、用語の対応は、 総利息収入Total interest income、 総利息費用 Total interest expense 財務省への送金前の純所得 Reserve Bank and consolidated variable interest entities net loss before providing remittances to the Treasury 損失の場合は、 Reserve Bank and consolidated variable interest entity net loss before providing remittances to the Treasury   準備預金への利子率 Interest rate on reserve balances (IORB rate)

Summary of My Upcoming Research Presentation

 

After the suspension of convertibility, money is often regarded as fiat money with no intrinsic value. This view tends to support the quantity theory of money or the idea that money can be injected exogenously by the government. 

In contrast, approaches like the Monetary Circuit Theory link bank-issued money to firms’ production, and other endogenous money theories argue that banks issue money in response to market demand. However, these views often overlook the value of money and its relation to commodity value. 

This paper shows Japanese Marxian theories that connect credit money with commodity value. During Japan’s 1950–60s Banknote Controversy, Tamotsu Okahashi applied Marx’s three laws of monetary circulation—bills of exchange, metallic money, and paper money—to explain different issuance channels of banknotes. 

Recent Unoist scholars further refine this view, classifying commodity money into two types: material money, which takes a material form, and inconvertible credit money, which takes a self-sustaining form as a claim to commodity value. Crucially, credit money is issued not at the beginning of production, but in anticipation of the sale of commodities. Banks take on the risk of uncertainty of circulation, reflecting what Marx called the “salto mortale”. This uncertainty is assumed away in Volumes 1 and 2 of “Capital” but must be emphasized in Volume 3.

This paper, firstly, highlights the importance of Japanese Marxian contributions. Secondly, by analyzing the balance sheets of banks, borrowers, and banknote holders, it shows that the value of credit money consists in the borrowers’ assets. Thirdly, it argues that credit money emerges from the contradiction between the uncertainty of circulation and the certainty of production in industrial capital with fixed capital.

Our paper contributes to rethinking intrinsic value in inconvertible credit money and the relation between industrial and bank capital through circulation. 


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